Solar activity is shifting from quiet to active conditions, with a G2 (moderate) geomagnetic storm expected in the early hours of August 2. While the current state remains calm, incoming solar wind structures are projected to drive Kp values to 5.67.
⚠ SUMPX1 · 4 more below
Conditions will transition from quiet to active starting around 00:00 UTC on August 2. We anticipate a rapid climb in Kp levels reaching G1 by midnight and peaking at G2 (Kp 5.67) by 03:00 UTC, as the solar wind interaction intensifies.
Observers at mid-latitudes, particularly in northern regions of the US, Canada, and Scandinavia, should prepare for potential aurora displays beginning late tonight and peaking in the early hours of August 2.
more
Visibility will be dependent on local darkness and clear weather conditions.
Monitor the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) data; a strong southward (Bz) component would significantly enhance the potential for brighter, more sustained aurora displays during the peak window.
▸ Detailed readings
R0
(24 h max R0)
S0
(24 h max S0)
117.0
sfu
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4502 | S06E17 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4498 | N14E10 | Dai/BD | 1/0/0 |
| AR4501 | S07W27 | Dao/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4499 | N04W21 | Dai/B | 1/0/0 |
| AR4496 | N05W50 | Cso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4500 | N18E14 | Dao/B | 0/0/0 |
Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h