Author: sitemill

  • Solar Watch — August 15, 2026 | 06:00 UTC

    ☀ Helios Solar Watch · 2026-08-15 04:00 UTC
    QUIET

    Solar activity is currently stable, characterized by moderate radio flux and a quiet geomagnetic environment. We anticipate a brief period of unsettled conditions as minor geomagnetic disturbances settle into a resting state.

    HMI Continuum Intensity

    Visible light · 7 active regions

    SUVI 304 — Extreme UV

    Extreme UV · 304 Å

    Kp Index
    1.3
    5 or above = storm

    Geomagnetic
    G0
    24 h max: G0

    X-Ray
    A/B
    quiet


    ⚠ Kp 4 expected · 4 more below
    Next 24 h

    Expect geomagnetic conditions to hover around Kp 3 for the next six to nine hours before tapering off to Kp 2 by midday. Solar flare risk remains centered on C-class events, with a negligible 1% probability of significant X-class activity.

    🌌 Aurora

    Aurora visibility is not expected for mid-latitudes (40-60°N).

    more

    Observers at high latitudes may see minimal, transient activity, but no significant displays are anticipated at this time.

    👁 Watch for

    Monitor the magnetic evolution of AR4508 as it rotates toward the center of the solar disk for potential shifts in complexity.

    ▸ Detailed readings

    Radio blackout
     R0
    (24 h max R0)
    Radiation
     S0
    (24 h max S0)
    F10.7
     145.0
    sfu

    Region Location Class Flares C/M/X
    AR4508 N07E27 Cso/B 2/0/0
    AR4503 S17W67 Cao/B 1/0/0
    AR4511 S09E53 Axx/A 0/0/0
    AR4507 N04W00 Dsi/B 0/0/0
    AR4510 N12W29 Cro/B 0/0/0
    AR4506 N11W17 Bxo/B 1/0/0
    AR4509 N11W75 Cao/B 0/0/0
    NOAA messages
    2026-08-14 10:54  Kp 4 expected (WARK04)
    2026-08-14 07:15  ALTTP2 (ALTTP2)
    2026-08-11 20:55  Kp 20 possible (WATA20)
    2026-08-11 11:41  Proton flux UD summary (SUMSUD)
    2026-08-11 10:47  Proton flux UD expected (WARSUD)


    Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h