Solar activity is currently marked by stable, quiet geomagnetic conditions despite moderate flaring from active region AR4513. While Earth’s magnetic field remains undisturbed, the Sun’s disk continues to show productive flare potential.
⚠ Kp 30 possible · 4 more below
Geomagnetic activity is expected to remain quiet with Kp values likely staying below 2.0. We anticipate continued C-class flare activity, with a persistent 40% probability of further M-class events as AR4513 rotates across the solar disk.
Aurora activity is currently restricted to high-latitude polar regions.
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No significant geomagnetic disturbances are expected to push the aurora oval toward mid-latitudes (40-60°N) within the next 24 hours.
Monitor the magnetic complexity of AR4513; any sudden increase in its magnetic classification could lead to impulsive M-class or higher eruptions.
▸ Detailed readings
R0
(24 h max R0)
S0
(24 h max S0)
100.0
sfu
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4516 | N16W68 | Dso/BG | 0/0/0 |
| AR4515 | S07E09 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4517 | N10W17 | Dai/BG | 0/0/0 |
| AR4513 | N04W04 | Ekc/BGD | 3/4/0 |
Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h