Author: sitemill

  • Solar Watch — June 11, 2026 | 06:00 UTC

    ☀ HELIOS SOLAR WATCH · 2026-06-11 04:00 UTC
    Stable Solar Conditions Persist With Moderate Activity Levels
    SOLAR: MODERATE
    GEO: QUIET

    Active Regions
    7
    X-Ray
    A/B (quiet)

    Current solar conditions remain geophysically quiet with no significant storm activity. A moderate F10.7 flux of 145 sfu indicates sustained background solar activity, but planetary geomagnetic levels remain low.

    HMI Continuum Intensity

    HMI Continuum · Visible Light

    SUVI 304 — Extreme UV

    SUVI 304Å · Extreme Ultraviolet

    R0
    Radio Blackouts
    24h max: R0

    S0
    Solar Radiation
    24h max: S0

    G0
    Geomagnetic Storm
    24h max: G0

    Planetary Kp-Index
    1.3
    0–9 scale · ≥5 = geomagnetic storm

    F10.7 Solar Flux
    145.0
    sfu · >150 = high activity

    The Earth’s geomagnetic field is currently settled, with a Kp-index of 1.3 reflecting a calm space environment. X-ray flux remains at low levels, with only minor C-class flare activity observed in the past 12 hours. While seven active regions are present on the solar disk, their magnetic complexity is currently limited.

    Key Metric

    The 40% probability of M-class flares is the primary metric to watch, as it suggests the potential for localized radio interference on the sunlit side of Earth.

    Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain unsettled but below storm thresholds, with Kp indices reaching a maximum of 3.0 during minor solar wind fluctuations. No major eruptive events are currently anticipated, though the 40% probability of M-class flares warrants ongoing monitoring.

    🌌 Aurora Outlook

    Aurora activity will be largely confined to high-latitude regions near the poles. Observers at mid-latitudes (40-60°N) should not expect significant auroral displays under current quiet conditions.

    Region Location Class Flares C/M/X
    AR4466 N06W31 Dao/B 0/0/0
    AR4465 N09E40 Dsi/BG 3/0/0
    AR4464 S12W03 Dsi/B 0/0/0
    AR4463 N16W04 Hsx/A 0/0/0
    AR4462 N16W35 Dsi/B 0/0/0
    AR4459 N14W56 Hrx/A 0/0/0
    AR4456 N18W87 Eso/B 1/0/0
    2026-06-11 00:40:57.837Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4
    2026-06-11 00:40:36.660Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
    2026-06-10 17:38:31.317Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
    2026-06-09 20:22:26.127Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
    2026-06-09 16:29:35.340Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2

    Monitor AR4465, currently the most active region on the disk, for any sudden changes in magnetic complexity that could increase the likelihood of moderate solar flares.