Solar conditions are currently quiet, characterized by low-level flare activity and a stable F10.7 flux of 124 sfu. A modest increase in geomagnetic activity is anticipated within the next 24 hours as solar wind conditions evolve.
⚠ Electron flux F3 reached · 4 more below
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to reach the unsettled Kp 4 level by 12:00 UTC on October 2nd.
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No significant radio blackouts are anticipated, though there is a 60% probability of isolated C-class flares as the active regions transit the solar disk.
Aurora visibility is not expected at mid-latitudes (40-60°N) under current Kp 1-4 conditions.
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Observers at high polar latitudes may see minor activity as the Kp-index trends toward 4.0 later today.
Monitor AR4545, currently at N20E61, as its evolving magnetic complexity remains the primary source for potential higher-intensity flaring.
▸ Detailed readings
R0
(24 h max R0)
S0
(24 h max S0)
124.0
sfu
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4544 | S09W43 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4545 | N20E61 | Bxo/B | 1/0/0 |
| AR4535 | N11W72 | Dso/B | 0/0/0 |
Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h