Current conditions are quiet, though geomagnetic activity is expected to trend into the unsettled range due to solar wind influence. Solar activity remains moderate with a sustained focus on active region AR4513.
⚠ Kp 30 possible · 4 more below
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to transition to unsettled levels, reaching Kp 3.33 in the coming hours. Flare probability remains weighted toward C-class events, with a 30% chance for further M-class activity from the disk.
Aurora visibility is not expected at mid-latitudes (40-60°N) given the current forecast; activity will likely remain restricted to high-latitude regions under Kp 3 conditions.
Monitor AR4513 for any sudden increase in magnetic complexity or rapid flare production which could indicate a shift toward more significant energetic output.
▸ Detailed readings
R0
(24 h max R0)
S0
(24 h max S0)
104.0
sfu
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4519 | N28E53 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4518 | N07E43 | Cri/B | 2/0/0 |
| AR4513 | N04W17 | Dac/BG | 1/2/0 |
| AR4516 | N15W81 | Dao/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4515 | S07W04 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4517 | N09W31 | Dai/BG | 0/0/0 |
Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h