Solar activity remains at moderate levels with four active regions currently on the visible disk. While geomagnetic conditions are largely quiet, the potential for further M-class flaring persists from AR4513.
⚠ ALTTP2 · 4 more below
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to subside from current unsettled levels to quiet by the 09:00 UTC period.
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While further C-class flares are likely, the 55% probability of additional M-class events suggests that satellite operators should remain attentive to intermittent X-ray flux increases.
Aurora visibility is not expected at mid-latitudes (40-60°N) over the next 24 hours.
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The current Kp index is insufficient to push the auroral oval south of its standard high-latitude boundaries.
Monitor the magnetic complexity of AR4513 as it rotates further across the disk, as its recent flare history suggests a continued potential for mid-level impulsive activity.
▸ Detailed readings
R0
(24 h max R0)
S0
(24 h max S0)
111.0
sfu
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4514 | S10W56 | Cro/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4508 | N09W50 | Hrx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4507 | N04W82 | Ehi/BG | 4/0/0 |
| AR4513 | N04E69 | Dac/B | 6/3/0 |
Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h