Geomagnetic conditions are currently quiet with a Kp-index of 1.0. While solar flare probabilities for M-class events are elevated, current activity remains within normal background levels.
⚠ WARPX1 · 4 more below
Expect geomagnetic conditions to remain quiet, with a slight, temporary increase to Kp=3 anticipated by mid-day as a result of minor solar wind fluctuations.
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Solar flare probability remains moderate for C-class events, with a lower 15% chance for more significant X-class activity.
Aurora visibility is not expected at mid-latitudes during this period.
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Observers in high-latitude regions may see minor, baseline auroral activity, but no significant displays are forecast.
Monitor AR4498, which shows complex magnetic classification and remains the most likely source for potential flare activity in the coming 24 hours.
▸ Detailed readings
R0
(24 h max R0)
S0
(24 h max S0)
117.0
sfu
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4494 | S05W70 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4499 | N05W08 | Dao/B | 8/0/0 |
| AR4495 | S04W83 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4496 | N05W37 | Cso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4500 | N18E28 | Cao/B | 1/0/0 |
| AR4498 | N14E22 | Dai/BG | 1/0/0 |
| AR4492 | N15W88 | Hax/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4501 | S08W12 | Cao/B | 0/0/0 |
Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h