The Sun is currently in a quiet state with geomagnetic conditions remaining at Kp 1.0. While solar activity is physically active with multiple sunspot regions, no significant flares or Earth-directed disturbances are currently observed.
⚠ Electron flux F3 reached · 4 more below
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet with Kp levels hovering around 2.0.
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While there is a 70% probability of M-class flares due to the magnetic complexity of current regions, the probability for Earth-impacting coronal mass ejections remains low.
Aurora visibility for mid-latitudes (40-60°N) is not expected.
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Observers in high-latitude regions may see minimal activity, but quiet conditions currently offer little opportunity for displays beyond typical polar auroral ovals.
Monitor the magnetic evolution of AR4498 and AR4499, as their ‘beta-gamma’ magnetic configurations provide the best environment for sudden M-class flare production.
▸ Detailed readings
R0
(24 h max R0)
S0
(24 h max S0)
110.0
sfu
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4498 | N14E50 | Dai/BG | 2/0/0 |
| AR4499 | N04E18 | Cro/BG | 1/0/0 |
| AR4494 | S03W42 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4500 | N18E58 | Cro/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4497 | S19W62 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4501 | S09E16 | Dro/BG | 1/0/0 |
| AR4495 | S02W53 | Cro/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4492 | N16W61 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4496 | N05W10 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h