Geomagnetic conditions remain quiet, though solar flare activity has increased due to an M-class eruption from AR4494. The solar environment is currently stable but bears monitoring for further flaring potential.
⚠ ALTTP2 · 4 more below
Expect geomagnetic conditions to remain largely quiet through the next 24 hours, with the Kp-index likely rising to 3.0 by the next cycle.
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Further C-class flares are highly probable, with a 50% chance of additional M-class activity as AR4494 transits the solar disk.
Aurora visibility is not expected at mid-latitudes (40-60°N) at current activity levels.
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Observers at very high latitudes may see minor activity, but no significant displays are forecast for the next 24 hours.
Monitor active region AR4494 for any signs of magnetic complexity development that could trigger a stronger, more eruptive solar flare.
▸ Detailed readings
R0
(24 h max R0)
S0
(24 h max S0)
118.0
sfu
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4496 | N05E33 | Dao/B | 3/0/0 |
| AR4495 | S02W13 | Axx/A | 2/0/0 |
| AR4494 | S04W02 | Dac/BD | 1/1/0 |
| AR4493 | N05W73 | Ehi/BG | 0/0/0 |
| AR4492 | N16W21 | Hkx/A | 0/0/0 |
Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h