GEO: QUIET
1
A/B (quiet)
Solar activity is currently stable, characterized by a quiet geomagnetic field and moderate radio flux. No significant space weather disturbances are present or expected in the next 24 hours.
The Sun remains in a steady state, with the F10.7 radio flux holding at 143 sfu, reflecting moderate solar cycle activity across seven active regions. The planetary K-index has settled to 2.0 after a brief period of unsettled conditions, indicating no geomagnetic storming. X-ray flux remains at low B-class levels, ensuring stable conditions for satellite operations and radio communications.
The current Kp-index of 2.0 confirms a quiet geomagnetic environment, suggesting minimal risk of interference for grid operators or satellite navigation systems.
Expect geomagnetic conditions to remain quiet, with the K-index likely to fluctuate between 2.0 and 3.0. Solar flare activity will likely persist at low to moderate levels, with a 95% probability of C-class events, but no significant impacts on Earth’s systems are anticipated.
Aurora visibility for mid-latitudes (40-60°N) is low, as current geomagnetic activity is insufficient to push the auroral oval south of its typical high-latitude range.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4486 | S18W85 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
Monitor the development of the seven active regions currently on the solar disk for any sudden increase in magnetic complexity that could trigger M-class flares.