GEO: QUIET
5
A/B (quiet)
Solar activity is currently characterized by moderate radio flux levels and minor geomagnetic fluctuations. While the disk remains generally stable, the magnetic complexity of AR4482 warrants brief monitoring for potential impulsive flares.
The Sun is currently exhibiting moderate activity with an F10.7 flux of 142.0 sfu and a quiet X-ray background. The current planetary K-index of 2.3 reflects stable geomagnetic conditions, although the recent trend shows slight, short-lived volatility. Five active regions are currently visible on the solar disk, with AR4482 showing the most significant magnetic complexity.
The F10.7 flux of 142.0 sfu indicates a sustained moderate level of solar output, which maintains the current ionospheric environment for radio propagation.
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to reach unsettled levels, with the Kp index potentially rising to 3.67 by late tonight. Solar flare activity will likely remain in the C-class range, though a 35% probability for M-class events exists primarily tied to AR4482.
Aurora visibility is not expected for mid-latitudes under the current forecast. Observers at very high latitudes may experience minor, short-lived auroral displays should the Kp-index reach the predicted peak of 3.67, but no significant storming is anticipated.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4487 | N09E13 | Cro/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4486 | S18W71 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4482 | S09E15 | Eko/BG | 0/1/0 |
| AR4485 | S10W41 | Dai/BG | 1/0/0 |
| AR4481 | N14W20 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
Monitor the magnetic evolution of AR4482 for any growth in its delta-class configuration, which remains the most likely source for potential M-class flare activity.