GEO: QUIET
5
A/B (quiet)
Current solar activity is quiet with stable geomagnetic conditions and a lack of significant solar flares. Earth’s magnetosphere remains undisturbed as we observe moderate background solar activity.
The solar environment is currently calm with a Kp-index of 2.3 and an F10.7 flux reading of 144.0 sfu. Seven active regions are present on the disk, though they remain largely inactive with only minor C-class flare production observed in the last 12 hours. Satellite and radio communications are functioning under normal, quiet-day parameters.
The 55% probability for M-class flares is the most important metric, as it indicates the potential for sudden radio propagation interference despite the current quiet status.
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet for the next 24 hours, with a slight uptick to Kp 3.0 predicted near 00:00 UTC on July 9th. Flare activity remains possible, given the 55% probability for M-class events from the current active regions.
Aurora visibility is not expected for mid-latitudes (40-60°N). Observers at high latitudes may see minor activity if the Kp-index reaches the forecast peak of 3.0, but no significant displays are anticipated.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4482 | S09E28 | Eki/BGD | 4/0/0 |
| AR4485 | S10W28 | Dri/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4487 | N09E26 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4486 | S18W57 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4481 | N14W06 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
Monitor AR4482 for any sign of magnetic complexity growth, as it is currently the most active region on the disk.