GEO: QUIET
5
A/B (quiet)
Current solar conditions are quiet, characterized by low geomagnetic activity and stable background X-ray flux. No significant solar storms are expected in the next 24 hours.
The Earth’s magnetic field is currently quiet with a Kp-index of 2.0. Solar activity is being driven by five active regions, with AR4436 serving as the primary source of recent M-class flare activity. The F10.7 solar radio flux is at 142.0 sfu, indicating a moderate level of solar cycle energy but no immediate threat to terrestrial systems.
The current Kp-index of 2.0 confirms a lack of geomagnetic disturbance, ensuring nominal conditions for satellite operators and power grid stability.
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain at quiet levels, with the Kp-index likely dipping below 2.0 as the current minor disturbances subside. Expect background flare activity to continue at the C-class level, with a low 10% probability of further M-class events.
Aurora activity is currently restricted to high-latitude regions near the poles. There is no significant visibility expected for mid-latitudes (40-60°N) during this period.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4433 | S17W25 | Cao/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4436 | N19E55 | Dao/B | 2/1/0 |
| AR4435 | N23W15 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4431 | S16W76 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4432 | N14W56 | Ekc/BG | 10/0/0 |
Monitor AR4436, as its complex magnetic configuration suggests continued potential for moderate M-class flare production.