GEO: QUIET
4
A/B (quiet)
Solar activity remains at stable, low levels with no significant geomagnetic storms expected. Despite high F10.7 radio flux readings, the sun remains in a quiet, non-eruptive state.
The planetary K-index is currently 2.7, indicating quiet geomagnetic conditions. While four active regions are currently monitored, including AR4433, solar flare production is limited to minor C-class events. F10.7 radio flux remains high at 162.0 sfu, reflecting robust solar activity consistent with the current cycle, yet X-ray flux remains at background levels.
The F10.7 radio flux of 162.0 sfu is the key indicator, confirming that despite a lack of eruptive activity, the sun is maintaining a high level of overall atmospheric ionization and energy output.
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain unsettled to quiet over the next 24 hours, with Kp levels peaking near 3.67 early on May 9th. No significant solar radiation storms or radio blackouts are anticipated, as flare probability for M-class and X-class events remains very low.
Aurora visibility is not expected for mid-latitudes. Observers in high-latitude regions may see minor, localized auroral activity, but conditions are not currently favorable for significant displays.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4432 | N14W14 | Cai/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4433 | S17E16 | Cao/B | 2/0/0 |
| AR4435 | N23E24 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4431 | S16W30 | Cao/B | 1/0/0 |
Monitor the evolution of AR4433 as it rotates toward the solar disk center, as its magnetic complexity could influence flare potential over the next 48 hours.