Solar Watch — October 14, 2026 | 18:00 UTC

☀ Helios Solar Watch · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC
QUIET

The Sun remains in a relatively quiet state with minimal flare activity. Geomagnetic conditions are currently calm, though a brief period of unsettled activity is anticipated through the next 24 hours.

HMI Continuum Intensity

Visible light · 8 active regions

SUVI 304 — Extreme UV

Extreme UV · 304 Å

Kp Index
2.0
5 or above = storm

Geomagnetic
G0
24 h max: G0

X-Ray
A/B
quiet


⚠ Kp 4 expected · 4 more below
Next 24 h

Geomagnetic activity is expected to rise slightly, peaking near a Kp-index of 3.67 during the evening of October 14th. Conditions should return to a quieter state by the early hours of October 15th as the minor disturbance passes.

🌌 Aurora

Aurora visibility is not expected at mid-latitudes.

more

Observers in high-latitude regions, such as northern Canada or Scandinavia, may see limited activity given the unsettled forecast, but general displays are unlikely.

👁 Watch for

Monitor AR4551 and AR4557 for any sudden increases in magnetic complexity, as these regions currently hold the highest potential for minor solar flares.

▸ Detailed readings

Radio blackout
 R0
(24 h max R0)
Radiation
 S0
(24 h max S0)
F10.7
 103.0
sfu

Region Location Class Flares C/M/X
AR4558 S08W34 Axx/A 0/0/0
AR4555 S07W43 Bxo/B 0/0/0
AR4551 S15E07 Eki/BGD 2/0/0
AR4556 N03E45 Bxo/B 0/0/0
AR4548 S13W79 Hsx/A 0/0/0
AR4554 N07E33 Axx/A 0/0/0
AR4557 N07E43 Cro/B 0/0/0
AR4553 N06E20 Axx/A 0/0/0
NOAA messages
2026-10-13 20:58  Kp 4 expected (WARK04)
2026-10-11 19:11  Kp 20 possible (WATA20)
2026-10-11 17:02  Kp 30 possible (WATA30)
2026-10-10 21:45  Kp 5 (G1) reached (ALTK05)
2026-10-10 19:27  Kp 7 (G3) reached (ALTK07)


Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h