GEO: QUIET
6
A/B (quiet)
Current solar activity is quiet with low-level background flux and no significant flare events. A minor, transient geomagnetic disturbance is currently passing through the planetary field, with conditions expected to return to nominal levels by mid-day.
The solar disk remains relatively stable with six active regions, none of which exhibit complex magnetic configurations. F10.7 solar radio flux is holding steady at 111 sfu, consistent with moderate cycle activity. X-ray flux remains firmly in the background ‘A’ and ‘B’ class range, indicating no imminent threat of radio blackouts.
The Kp-index is the primary metric to monitor; it reflects the current geomagnetic stabilization after a short-lived disturbance.
The geomagnetic field is transitioning from a brief period of minor instability back toward quiet conditions over the next 12 hours. We expect solar flare activity to remain low, with only a 45% probability of minor C-class events.
Aurora visibility is not expected for mid-latitudes (40-60°N). While high-latitude regions may have seen brief, minor activity overnight, the geomagnetic field is rapidly stabilizing below storm thresholds.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4440 | N17E42 | Hrx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4436 | N19W52 | Hsx/A | 1/0/0 |
| AR4439 | N06E42 | Dao/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4442 | S15E28 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4443 | S16E47 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4441 | N08W01 | Dao/B | 0/0/0 |
Monitor the magnetic complexity of AR4440 and AR4439 as they rotate into a more geoeffective position over the coming days.