Category: Uncategorized

  • Solar Watch — August 01, 2026 | 18:00 UTC

    ☀ Helios Solar Watch · 2026-08-01 16:00 UTC
    QUIET

    Current solar activity remains calm with no significant geomagnetic storms, though the Kp-index is trending toward unsettled levels over the next 24 hours. The solar disk is well-populated with nine active regions, maintaining a moderate F10.7 flux of 117.0 sfu.

    HMI Continuum Intensity

    Visible light · 5 active regions

    SUVI 304 — Extreme UV

    Extreme UV · 304 Å

    Kp Index
    1.3
    5 or above = storm

    Geomagnetic
    G0
    24 h max: G0

    X-Ray
    A/B
    quiet


    ⚠ WARPX1 · 4 more below
    Next 24 h

    Conditions are expected to transition to unsettled, with the Kp-index forecast to reach 4.0 by early August 2nd.

    more

    Radio communication remains stable, though the 65% probability of M-class flares warrants monitoring for potential sudden ionospheric disturbances.

    🌌 Aurora

    Aurora activity will remain confined to high latitudes.

    more

    Observers at mid-latitudes are unlikely to see displays, as geomagnetic indices are not forecasted to reach storm thresholds.

    👁 Watch for

    Watch for potential M-class flare activity from the maturing active regions, which could trigger R1-level radio blackouts on the sunlit side of Earth.

    ▸ Detailed readings

    Radio blackout
     R0
    (24 h max R0)
    Radiation
     S0
    (24 h max S0)
    F10.7
     117.0
    sfu

    Region Location Class Flares C/M/X
    AR4498 N14E10 Dai/B 1/0/0
    AR4501 S07W27 Dao/B 0/0/0
    AR4499 N04W21 Cai/B 0/0/0
    AR4496 N05W50 Cso/B 0/0/0
    AR4500 N18E14 Dao/B 0/0/0
    NOAA messages
    2026-07-31 21:54  WARPX1 (WARPX1)
    2026-07-31 18:46  SUMPC0 (SUMPC0)
    2026-07-31 13:37  ALTPX1 (ALTPX1)
    2026-07-31 11:05  Kp 30 possible (WATA30)
    2026-07-31 09:08  SUMPX1 (SUMPX1)


    Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h