Geomagnetic conditions remain quiet with a Kp-index of 1.7, though solar activity is elevated due to a high F10.7 flux of 176 sfu. While current conditions are calm, a minor increase in geomagnetic unrest is expected over the next few hours.
⚠ Kp 4 expected · 4 more below
Geomagnetic activity is expected to rise slightly to unsettled levels (Kp up to 3.67) during the next 24 hours. Conditions should return to quiet levels by early August 8th as the transient influence passes.
Aurora visibility is not expected at mid-latitudes.
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The current activity is insufficient to push the auroral oval far enough south for observers in the 40-60°N range.
Monitor the M-class flare probability, currently at 40%, from active regions AR4504 and AR4503, as these hold the potential to alter the space weather environment on short notice.
▸ Detailed readings
R0
(24 h max R0)
S0
(24 h max S0)
176.0
sfu
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4504 | S20E45 | Bxi/BG | 0/0/0 |
| AR4498 | N14W70 | Hax/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4500 | N19W68 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4503 | S17E27 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4502 | S07W66 | Cao/B | 0/0/0 |
Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h