Category: Uncategorized

  • Solar Watch — August 16, 2026 | 06:00 UTC

    ☀ Helios Solar Watch · 2026-08-16 04:00 UTC
    QUIET

    Solar activity is currently subdued, characterized by quiet geomagnetic conditions and a lack of significant solar flares. Earth’s environment remains stable with no active space weather threats at this time.

    HMI Continuum Intensity

    Visible light · 8 active regions

    SUVI 304 — Extreme UV

    Extreme UV · 304 Å

    Kp Index
    1.3
    5 or above = storm

    Geomagnetic
    G0
    24 h max: G0

    X-Ray
    A/B
    quiet


    ⚠ Kp 4 expected · 4 more below
    Next 24 h

    Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain at quiet levels, with Kp indices hovering between 1 and 2 over the next 24 hours.

    more

    The probability of M-class flares remains low at 15%, meaning communication and satellite systems should experience normal operational conditions.

    🌌 Aurora

    Auroral activity is expected to be confined to the high polar latitudes.

    more

    Mid-latitude observers should not expect any significant displays during this period.

    👁 Watch for

    Monitor the development of Active Region 4507 and 4508 for any growth in magnetic complexity that could increase the probability of M-class flare production.

    ▸ Detailed readings

    Radio blackout
     R0
    (24 h max R0)
    Radiation
     S0
    (24 h max S0)
    F10.7
     128.0
    sfu

    Region Location Class Flares C/M/X
    AR4507 N04W15 Dai/B 2/0/0
    AR4503 S17W81 Cso/B 0/0/0
    AR4509 N10W89 Cso/B 0/0/0
    AR4511 S09E40 Axx/A 0/0/0
    AR4506 N11W31 Dri/B 2/0/0
    AR4510 N12W44 Hrx/A 0/0/0
    AR4512 S19W15 Cro/B 0/0/0
    AR4508 N08E15 Cso/B 1/0/0
    NOAA messages
    2026-08-14 10:54  Kp 4 expected (WARK04)
    2026-08-14 07:15  ALTTP2 (ALTTP2)
    2026-08-11 20:55  Kp 20 possible (WATA20)
    2026-08-11 11:41  Proton flux UD summary (SUMSUD)
    2026-08-11 10:47  Proton flux UD expected (WARSUD)


    Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h