GEO: QUIET
8
A/B (quiet)
Current solar conditions are quiet with the planetary K-index remaining low at 1.7. Solar activity remains moderate, characterized by consistent C-class flare production from existing active regions.
The sun is currently exhibiting a stable profile with nine active regions identified across the disk. An F10.7 flux of 142.0 sfu indicates moderate solar activity, though the X-ray background remains at quiet levels. Geomagnetic field activity is undisturbed, with no significant solar radiation storms or radio blackouts reported.
The 45% probability for M-class flares is the primary metric to monitor, as it highlights the potential for sudden, localized communication disruptions on the sunlit side of Earth.
Geomagnetic activity is expected to remain quiet to unsettled over the next 24 hours, with Kp indices hovering between 2.0 and 2.7. No significant geomagnetic disturbances are anticipated, and the risk for M-class flares remains at a steady 45%.
Aurora visibility is not expected at mid-latitudes (40-60°N). Observers should anticipate standard, non-storm conditions, with auroral activity restricted to high-latitude polar regions.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4464 | S12E37 | Dao/B | 2/0/0 |
| AR4463 | N16E36 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4462 | N16E05 | Dai/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4461 | S21E05 | Cro/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4459 | N14W18 | Cso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4458 | S06W62 | Dso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4456 | N17W48 | Dai/BGD | 8/0/0 |
| AR4455 | N15W74 | Hax/A | 0/0/0 |
Monitor the development of Active Region AR4464 as it rotates toward the solar meridian for signs of increasing magnetic complexity.